BTC
crypto
40 resolved
-1.03%
52.5% hit57.5% dir
Matthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader
Verified prediction performance tracked by Alphingo.
Hit rate
42.5%Dir. accuracy
44.8%Avg. return
-6.84%Hit streak
2HitsMisses
Best Markets
SOL
crypto
8 resolved
-2.74%
25.0% hit25.0% dir
ETH
crypto
5 resolved
-42.19%
20.0% hit20.0% dir
GOLD
commodities
4 resolved
-1.41%
25.0% hit25.0% dir
LTC
crypto
4 resolved
-10.04%
25.0% hit25.0% dir
OIL
commodities
3 resolved
-16.54%
33.3% hit33.3% dir
XRP
crypto
3 resolved
-17.16%
33.3% hit33.3% dir
SPX
stocks
2 resolved
-2.10%
0.0% hit0.0% dir
Recent Predictions
99 matching predictions.
Matthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 13, 2025 · 01:21
BTCCryptobullishdirectionalshort term
-32.25%Assuming the leading diagonal interpretation is correct then its likely wave 1 of a new 5 wave impulse higher.
As such we would expect wave 2 correction to complete (possibly this weekend) before a powerful wave 3 $BTC advance towards the #BTC ATH https://t.co/BxkbftLf0U
As such we would expect wave 2 correction to complete (possibly this weekend) before a powerful wave 3 $BTC advance towards the #BTC ATH https://t.co/BxkbftLf0U
Entry90,298.7109
Outcome61,181.8479
Target—
Return-32.25%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on BTC over short term. Current outcome: Miss.The tweet predicts a wave 2 correction completing possibly this weekend followed by a powerful wave 3 advance towards BTC all-time high, indicating a bullish directional prediction in the short term.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 11, 2025 · 07:48
INFLATIONOtherbullishdirectionalgoing forward
—#Inflation expected to accelerate going forward which may slow the pace of future rate cuts - At least it should but who knows? - If Trump gets his way we could have inflation sky rocketing 🚀 on his aggressive cut policy https://t.co/YSFPGwY21o
Entry—
Outcome—
Target—
Return—
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on INFLATION over going forward. Current outcome: Pending.The tweet predicts inflation will accelerate going forward, potentially increasing due to aggressive rate cuts.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 11, 2025 · 01:10
BTCCryptobearishprice target2026
+33.37%Indices higher/#Crypto down
1. #Bitcoin drops below $90,000 after the Federal Reserve rate cut
Despite stocks rallying, Bitcoin fell under the $90K level as traders reassessed the Fed’s guidance and future liquidity conditions.
Crypto markets show a muted reaction compared to equities.
2. Crypto sector indices slide; DePIN and AI tokens lead the decline
Broader crypto market weakness continues, with several high-beta sectors (like AI and DePIN tokens) under heavy selling pressure.
3. Do Kwon faces U.S. sentencing for misleading investors
Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon is expected to be sentenced for his role in the Terra/LUNA collapse that wiped out billions in value.
This marks one of the biggest legal cases in crypto history.
4. #XRP and major altcoins sell off as traders rotate profits out of Bitcoin
XRP saw notable selling from whales and profittaking, even though ETF inflows to XRP products remain relatively strong.
5. SpaceX moves another ~$95 million worth of Bitcoin
Blockchain data shows SpaceX conducting another major on-chain BTC transfer as the company prepares for what could be the largest IPO in 2026.
Corporate wallets remain unusually active this month.
6. Bitcoin briefly rebounds as Twenty One Capital begins NYSE trading
The newly listed Bitcoin-treasury company Twenty One Capital (XXI) made its NYSE debut, holding over 43,500 BTC.
$BTC saw a temporary lift on the news before sliding again with broader risk assets.
7. Major bank slashes Bitcoin price forecast
A well-known institutional research desk cut its 2026 BTC price target nearly in half, warning that ETF flows may no longer offset declining corporate treasury demand.
Wealth managers in Asia and the U.S. report elevated caution as traders await more clarity on macro policy, which continues to drive high volatility in crypto.
1. #Bitcoin drops below $90,000 after the Federal Reserve rate cut
Despite stocks rallying, Bitcoin fell under the $90K level as traders reassessed the Fed’s guidance and future liquidity conditions.
Crypto markets show a muted reaction compared to equities.
2. Crypto sector indices slide; DePIN and AI tokens lead the decline
Broader crypto market weakness continues, with several high-beta sectors (like AI and DePIN tokens) under heavy selling pressure.
3. Do Kwon faces U.S. sentencing for misleading investors
Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon is expected to be sentenced for his role in the Terra/LUNA collapse that wiped out billions in value.
This marks one of the biggest legal cases in crypto history.
4. #XRP and major altcoins sell off as traders rotate profits out of Bitcoin
XRP saw notable selling from whales and profittaking, even though ETF inflows to XRP products remain relatively strong.
5. SpaceX moves another ~$95 million worth of Bitcoin
Blockchain data shows SpaceX conducting another major on-chain BTC transfer as the company prepares for what could be the largest IPO in 2026.
Corporate wallets remain unusually active this month.
6. Bitcoin briefly rebounds as Twenty One Capital begins NYSE trading
The newly listed Bitcoin-treasury company Twenty One Capital (XXI) made its NYSE debut, holding over 43,500 BTC.
$BTC saw a temporary lift on the news before sliding again with broader risk assets.
7. Major bank slashes Bitcoin price forecast
A well-known institutional research desk cut its 2026 BTC price target nearly in half, warning that ETF flows may no longer offset declining corporate treasury demand.
Wealth managers in Asia and the U.S. report elevated caution as traders await more clarity on macro policy, which continues to drive high volatility in crypto.
Entry92,511.3359
Outcome61,636.0057
Target45,000.0000
Return+33.37%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish price target call on BTC toward 45,000.0000 over 2026. Current outcome: Pending.The tweet mentions a major bank slashing its 2026 Bitcoin price forecast nearly in half, indicating a bearish price target for BTC in 2026.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 10, 2025 · 21:31
BTCCryptobearishprice targetmedium term
+2.30%Following 25bps cut by #FED
#BTC looks like it’s in Wave 4, showing bearish RSI divergence and one more drop (Wave 5) likely before a real bottom.
Wave 3 bottomed near $80K
Current bounce is Wave 4
RSI bearish divergence confirms momentum weakening
Heavy resistance overhead near $94–102K
Probability favors another leg down below $BTC 80k before trend change
BTC is rejecting from the Wave 4 zone
Wave 4 typically retraces 0.236 to 0.382 of Wave 3
OR rejects from the 0.5 / 0.618 retrace if it is corrective
Price already stalled beneath:
0.5 Fib = $105,072
0.618 Fib = $102,369
And failed at the dashed downtrend line, showing Wave 4 is likely complete or close to completion.
Daily RSI bearish divergence
Higher highs on RSI
Lower highs on price
This is textbook bearish divergence, especially meaningful on the daily timeframe.
RSI divergence during a Wave 4 is classic behavior before Wave 5.
It suggests:
Momentum is fading
Bulls losing strength
Next move likely down
Wave 5 or C downside target
1.618 extension at $79,617
For confirms Wave 5 is underway look for
Daily close below $88K
Failure to reclaim $94K
Breakdown from rising micro-trendline on 4H
These would signal the Wave 4 bounce is done.
Invalidates the bearish Wave 5 scenario would require a clean daily close above $102,500
If that happens then Wave 5 is cancelled, and we are in a major trend reversal.
But at present, the chart does not support this bullish outcome.
Most Probable Path (High Confidence)
BTC chops sideways between $88K–94K
Bearish divergence resolves downward
Wave 5 takes price below $80K
Major bottom forms leading into a 2026 accumulation
#BTC looks like it’s in Wave 4, showing bearish RSI divergence and one more drop (Wave 5) likely before a real bottom.
Wave 3 bottomed near $80K
Current bounce is Wave 4
RSI bearish divergence confirms momentum weakening
Heavy resistance overhead near $94–102K
Probability favors another leg down below $BTC 80k before trend change
BTC is rejecting from the Wave 4 zone
Wave 4 typically retraces 0.236 to 0.382 of Wave 3
OR rejects from the 0.5 / 0.618 retrace if it is corrective
Price already stalled beneath:
0.5 Fib = $105,072
0.618 Fib = $102,369
And failed at the dashed downtrend line, showing Wave 4 is likely complete or close to completion.
Daily RSI bearish divergence
Higher highs on RSI
Lower highs on price
This is textbook bearish divergence, especially meaningful on the daily timeframe.
RSI divergence during a Wave 4 is classic behavior before Wave 5.
It suggests:
Momentum is fading
Bulls losing strength
Next move likely down
Wave 5 or C downside target
1.618 extension at $79,617
For confirms Wave 5 is underway look for
Daily close below $88K
Failure to reclaim $94K
Breakdown from rising micro-trendline on 4H
These would signal the Wave 4 bounce is done.
Invalidates the bearish Wave 5 scenario would require a clean daily close above $102,500
If that happens then Wave 5 is cancelled, and we are in a major trend reversal.
But at present, the chart does not support this bullish outcome.
Most Probable Path (High Confidence)
BTC chops sideways between $88K–94K
Bearish divergence resolves downward
Wave 5 takes price below $80K
Major bottom forms leading into a 2026 accumulation
Entry92,511.3359
Outcome90,386.6484
Target79,617.0000
Return+2.30%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish price target call on BTC toward 79,617.0000 over medium term. Current outcome: Miss.The tweet predicts a bearish Wave 5 for BTC with a downside target below $80K, supported by technical indicators like bearish RSI divergence and specific price levels. It also mentions a major bottom forming leading into 2026, implying a medium-term timeframe.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 9, 2025 · 02:12
BTCCryptobearishdirectionalmedium term
+33.99%@mdTrade #Crypto Headlines
1. Twenty One Capital begins trading on NYSE with over 43,500 BTC
A major #Bitcoin-focused company, Twenty One Capital #XXI, has officially listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
The firm holds more than 43,500 #BTC, instantly making it one of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin-treasury companies.
2. Bitcoin steadies around $90,000 after recent volatility
BTC is hovering near the $90K level as markets digest last week’s sell-off.
Liquidity remains thin, and traders are watching for macro signals tied to potential rate cuts.
3. #ETH has slipped under $3,100, showing mild weakness versus Bitcoin.
The move suggests continued caution among large-cap investors.
4. #Solana and #XRP see positive investment flows
While funds tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum show net outflows,
5. Traders position for deeper BTC downside with extreme options bets
Some derivatives desks report increased demand for deep out-of-the-money bearish BTC options, including strikes as low as $20K a sign of hedging or speculative stress even as spot stabilizes.
6. Analysts warn Bitcoin’s November crash may not be over
Market strategists suggest that lingering macro pressure, leverage washouts, and slowing liquidity could lead to further turbulence before a more sustained recovery.
Yesterdays $BTC invalidation points remain key ahead of #FOMC - I remain Bullish but nervous!
1. Twenty One Capital begins trading on NYSE with over 43,500 BTC
A major #Bitcoin-focused company, Twenty One Capital #XXI, has officially listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
The firm holds more than 43,500 #BTC, instantly making it one of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin-treasury companies.
2. Bitcoin steadies around $90,000 after recent volatility
BTC is hovering near the $90K level as markets digest last week’s sell-off.
Liquidity remains thin, and traders are watching for macro signals tied to potential rate cuts.
3. #ETH has slipped under $3,100, showing mild weakness versus Bitcoin.
The move suggests continued caution among large-cap investors.
4. #Solana and #XRP see positive investment flows
While funds tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum show net outflows,
5. Traders position for deeper BTC downside with extreme options bets
Some derivatives desks report increased demand for deep out-of-the-money bearish BTC options, including strikes as low as $20K a sign of hedging or speculative stress even as spot stabilizes.
6. Analysts warn Bitcoin’s November crash may not be over
Market strategists suggest that lingering macro pressure, leverage washouts, and slowing liquidity could lead to further turbulence before a more sustained recovery.
Yesterdays $BTC invalidation points remain key ahead of #FOMC - I remain Bullish but nervous!
Entry92,691.7109
Outcome61,181.8479
Target20,000.0000
Return+33.99%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on BTC toward 20,000.0000 over medium term. Current outcome: Hit.The tweet mentions traders positioning for deeper BTC downside with options strikes as low as $20K and analysts warning that Bitcoin's November crash may not be over, indicating a bearish directional prediction with a target price around $20,000 within the medium term (November).
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 7, 2025 · 02:24
SOLCryptobullishprice targetshort term
-1.98%#Solana has completed a multi-month downtrend after a strong run-up. Recent candles show the price stalling around the $125–$135 zone, which acted as support earlier in the year.
The trend from August to November is clearly down, but the recent weeks show:
Selling momentum slowing
Price holding above the prior $110–$120 demand zone
A series of higher lows on the micro timeframe
This hints at accumulation, not capitulation.
Key levels marked on the chart:
Support: $120–$125
Resistance: $145, $160, then $180
Major breakdown line: $110
Unless $110 breaks, no major bearish continuation structure is present.
The RSI (14) shows:
A bullish divergence:
Price made lower lows, RSI made higher lows.
RSI is rising from oversold territory but has not yet entered bullish (>50) territory.
This is often seen in bottoming phases, not in mid-trend declines.
Scenario A — Slow grind upward toward $145–$160 (most likely)
Why?
Bullish divergence
Price defending multi-month support
Sellers losing momentum
Move could look like:
Retest $135 → Break to $145 → Maybe $160 if volume expands
Probability: 60%
Scenario B — Range-bound chop between $120–$140
If the market stays uncertain, SOL may consolidate before choosing direction.
Probability: 30%
Scenario C — Breakdown to $110 (low probability unless #BTC dumps)
This would require:
A clear close below $120
Rising volume on breakdown
Macro or market-wide risk-off
Probability: 10%
At the moment, the chart does not show strong bearish continuation signals.
Based on the chart:
Selling pressure has diminished
Momentum is turning upward
RSI divergence supports a recovery
Price is at a major historical support band
Short-term bias: mildly bullish toward $145–$160
Invalidated if SOL closes below $120 with volume
The trend from August to November is clearly down, but the recent weeks show:
Selling momentum slowing
Price holding above the prior $110–$120 demand zone
A series of higher lows on the micro timeframe
This hints at accumulation, not capitulation.
Key levels marked on the chart:
Support: $120–$125
Resistance: $145, $160, then $180
Major breakdown line: $110
Unless $110 breaks, no major bearish continuation structure is present.
The RSI (14) shows:
A bullish divergence:
Price made lower lows, RSI made higher lows.
RSI is rising from oversold territory but has not yet entered bullish (>50) territory.
This is often seen in bottoming phases, not in mid-trend declines.
Scenario A — Slow grind upward toward $145–$160 (most likely)
Why?
Bullish divergence
Price defending multi-month support
Sellers losing momentum
Move could look like:
Retest $135 → Break to $145 → Maybe $160 if volume expands
Probability: 60%
Scenario B — Range-bound chop between $120–$140
If the market stays uncertain, SOL may consolidate before choosing direction.
Probability: 30%
Scenario C — Breakdown to $110 (low probability unless #BTC dumps)
This would require:
A clear close below $120
Rising volume on breakdown
Macro or market-wide risk-off
Probability: 10%
At the moment, the chart does not show strong bearish continuation signals.
Based on the chart:
Selling pressure has diminished
Momentum is turning upward
RSI divergence supports a recovery
Price is at a major historical support band
Short-term bias: mildly bullish toward $145–$160
Invalidated if SOL closes below $120 with volume
Entry132.0936
Outcome129.4811
Target145.0000
Return-1.98%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish price target call on SOL toward 145.0000 over short term. Current outcome: Miss.The tweet clearly predicts a slow upward grind toward $145-$160 with a 60% probability, supported by bullish divergence, price defending multi-month support, and sellers losing momentum.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 5, 2025 · 02:16
BTCCryptobearishsupport resistanceshort term
-0.99%Crypto Market Update
BTC pulls back to the $92K zone, down about 1%, as markets stay cautious ahead of major options expiry.
ETH trades near $3,150, showing relative strength, with signs of underlying accumulation despite broad market softness.
Over $4B in BTC + ETH options expire today — adding pressure and intraday volatility.
BTC struggling to reclaim $93K, with sellers active on every bounce.
ETH continues to outperform, supported by stronger fundamentals and improving on-chain flows.
Market entering a consolidation phase as traders wait for macro cues and liquidity remains thin.
BTC holding $91–92K is critical, a breakdown opens room to $89K.
ETH maintaining $3K keeps bullish structure intact.
Expect volatility spikes around options expiry and macro data releases.
Cautious tone across the market. BTC looks fragile, ETH looks constructive. Ideal environment for high-discipline traders and selective setups 🚀
#Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoUpdate #BTCUSD #ETHUSD #DeFi #Web3 #Blockchain #Altcoins
BTC pulls back to the $92K zone, down about 1%, as markets stay cautious ahead of major options expiry.
ETH trades near $3,150, showing relative strength, with signs of underlying accumulation despite broad market softness.
Over $4B in BTC + ETH options expire today — adding pressure and intraday volatility.
BTC struggling to reclaim $93K, with sellers active on every bounce.
ETH continues to outperform, supported by stronger fundamentals and improving on-chain flows.
Market entering a consolidation phase as traders wait for macro cues and liquidity remains thin.
BTC holding $91–92K is critical, a breakdown opens room to $89K.
ETH maintaining $3K keeps bullish structure intact.
Expect volatility spikes around options expiry and macro data releases.
Cautious tone across the market. BTC looks fragile, ETH looks constructive. Ideal environment for high-discipline traders and selective setups 🚀
#Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoUpdate #BTCUSD #ETHUSD #DeFi #Web3 #Blockchain #Altcoins
Entry89,387.7578
Outcome90,270.4141
Target89,000.0000
Return-0.99%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish support resistance call on BTC toward 89,000.0000 over short term. Current outcome: Miss.The tweet predicts that if BTC breaks below the $91-92K support, it could drop to $89K, indicating a bearish outlook in the short term around options expiry.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 5, 2025 · 02:10
BTCCryptobullishdirectional
-31.55%We have a GREAT wait and see trade potential here.
If trade breaks higher above $BTC 103,530 we have a BUY
If trade breaks lower in 5 waves from here then we also have a #BTC BUY
Both scenarios should deliver a decent profit with minimal risk https://t.co/UqRaZCg5XY
If trade breaks higher above $BTC 103,530 we have a BUY
If trade breaks lower in 5 waves from here then we also have a #BTC BUY
Both scenarios should deliver a decent profit with minimal risk https://t.co/UqRaZCg5XY
Entry89,387.7578
Outcome61,181.8479
Target103,530.0000
Return-31.55%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on BTC toward 103,530.0000. Current outcome: Miss.The tweet predicts a bullish outcome if BTC breaks above 103,530 or breaks lower in 5 waves, both scenarios leading to a BUY signal.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Dec 4, 2025 · 01:26
BTCCryptobullishsupport resistanceweekly
+2.02%Dec 4th Traders Report Video
Bitcoin (BTC) snaps back to $93K, posting its strongest level in two weeks after a sharp early-December selloff.
Ethereum (ETH) climbs above $3,200 as momentum returns following the latest network upgrade and improving market sentiment.
Traders are pricing in potential Fed rate cuts, boosting risk assets.
ETH strength tied to improved network throughput and renewed demand.
Market recovering after BTC’s dip below $86K and ETH’s slide near $2.8K earlier this week.
Macro remains the main catalyst, Any shift in rate expectations = volatility.
ETH holding $3K remains key support; BTC needs a weekly close above $94K to flip trend.
Expect sharp intraday swings as liquidity thins into year-end.
Momentum is returning, but this is still a news-driven market.
Great environment for scalpers and perp traders but manage risk tightly.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #CryptoNews #DeFi #Web3 #Blockchain #Altcoins #BTCUSD #ETHUSD
Bitcoin (BTC) snaps back to $93K, posting its strongest level in two weeks after a sharp early-December selloff.
Ethereum (ETH) climbs above $3,200 as momentum returns following the latest network upgrade and improving market sentiment.
Traders are pricing in potential Fed rate cuts, boosting risk assets.
ETH strength tied to improved network throughput and renewed demand.
Market recovering after BTC’s dip below $86K and ETH’s slide near $2.8K earlier this week.
Macro remains the main catalyst, Any shift in rate expectations = volatility.
ETH holding $3K remains key support; BTC needs a weekly close above $94K to flip trend.
Expect sharp intraday swings as liquidity thins into year-end.
Momentum is returning, but this is still a news-driven market.
Great environment for scalpers and perp traders but manage risk tightly.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #CryptoNews #DeFi #Web3 #Blockchain #Altcoins #BTCUSD #ETHUSD
Entry92,141.6250
Outcome94,000.0000
Target94,000.0000
Return+2.02%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish support resistance call on BTC toward 94,000.0000 over weekly. Current outcome: Hit.The tweet states BTC needs a weekly close above $94K to flip trend, implying a bullish prediction if that level is reached.
View original tweetMatthew Dixon - Veteran Financial Trader @mdtrade
Nov 26, 2025 · 05:22
FOMC INTEREST RATEOtherbearishdirectionalshort term
—In the run-up to this week, the mood was one of disappointment that the #FOMC wouldn’t deliver a final cut for 2025.
A week ago, investors hedged their bets at a 50/50 likelihood of a 25bps cut from its current position of 3.75% to 4%.
But the tide changed quickly, based on both data and comments from members of the FOMC, and now CME’s FedWatch tool places an 81% probability of a cut Dec 10th
A week ago, investors hedged their bets at a 50/50 likelihood of a 25bps cut from its current position of 3.75% to 4%.
But the tide changed quickly, based on both data and comments from members of the FOMC, and now CME’s FedWatch tool places an 81% probability of a cut Dec 10th
Entry—
Outcome—
Target3.7500
Return—
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on FOMC INTEREST RATE toward 3.7500 over short term. Current outcome: Pending.The tweet predicts a 25bps cut in the FOMC interest rate from 4% to 3.75% on Dec 10th with 81% probability, indicating a directional bearish prediction on rates.
View original tweet