Discover who is making calls on Polymarket-style events across politics, crypto, the economy, culture, science and other prediction markets. This page focuses on odds, probability and outcome accuracy rather than percentage gains.
#Inflation expected to accelerate going forward which may slow the pace of future rate cuts - At least it should but who knows? - If Trump gets his way we could have inflation sky rocketing 🚀 on his aggressive cut policy https://t.co/YSFPGwY21o
In the run-up to this week, the mood was one of disappointment that the #FOMC wouldn’t deliver a final cut for 2025.
A week ago, investors hedged their bets at a 50/50 likelihood of a 25bps cut from its current position of 3.75% to 4%.
But the tide changed quickly, based on both data and comments from members of the FOMC, and now CME’s FedWatch tool places an 81% probability of a cut Dec 10th
99.9% chance of an #InterestRate cut tonight.
Not much room for surprises but the commentary should be interesting to give future guidance and this is what COULD affect #BTC & #ALTCOIN prices https://t.co/IB3uOes9GF
