
Benjamin Cowen
@benjamincowen · Feb 11, 2026
The Dow Jones topped in early 2018 and early 2022.
From early 2018 to early 2022, DJI increased 37%.
From early 2022 to early 2026, DJI is up 37%.
What are the chances that while everyone cheerleads DJI hitting 50,000, it ends up marking the top for a while?
A 20% drop from here, which is what happened in prior cycles (excluding the pandemic), would put DJI at 40,000
From early 2018 to early 2022, DJI increased 37%.
From early 2022 to early 2026, DJI is up 37%.
What are the chances that while everyone cheerleads DJI hitting 50,000, it ends up marking the top for a while?
A 20% drop from here, which is what happened in prior cycles (excluding the pandemic), would put DJI at 40,000
