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Benjamin Cowen

Verified prediction performance tracked by Alphingo.

Verified Trader Tracked since Jun 2026 🏆 #2 Stocks
Hit rate
16.7%
Dir. accuracy
33.3%
Avg. return
-2.68%
Hit streak
0

Accuracy Over Time

Resolved hits and misses by month.

HitsMisses

Best Markets

BTC
crypto
2 resolved
-7.69%
0.0% hit0.0% dir
SPX
stocks
2 resolved
+0.14%
50.0% hit50.0% dir
DJI
stocks
1 resolved
+0.72%
0.0% hit100.0% dir
DXY
forex
1 resolved
-1.70%
0.0% hit0.0% dir
TOTAL
crypto
0 resolved
0.00%
0.0% hit0.0% dir
ETH
crypto
0 resolved
0.00%
0.0% hit0.0% dir
TOTAL2
crypto
0 resolved
0.00%
0.0% hit0.0% dir

Recent Predictions

11 matching predictions.

Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 17, 2026 · 19:10
pending
TOTALCryptobullishdirectionalcoming weeks
Stablecoin dominance did break out and this is likely just printing another higher low in the coming weeks. https://t.co/C3qInxQIzp
Entry
Outcome
Target
Return
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on TOTAL over coming weeks. Current outcome: Pending.
The tweet predicts stablecoin dominance has broken out and is likely printing another higher low in the coming weeks, implying a bullish directional move in stablecoin dominance.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 13, 2026 · 12:02
miss
DXYForexbullishdirectional
-1.70%
DXY starting to move up just as it did in early 2018.

This threatens to tighten global liquidity even further, which will continue to be a macro headwind for risk assets https://t.co/70JRVsUDZk
Entry100.3600
Outcome98.6500
Target
Return-1.70%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on DXY. Current outcome: Miss.
The tweet predicts that DXY is starting to move up, implying a bullish directional move for the DXY index.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 5, 2026 · 22:49
pending
TOTALCryptobearishdirectional
Weakness in stocks is continuing to mount. Remember crypto will stay weak until the Fed's hand is forced. But it won't be forced with stocks at all time highs.
Entry
Outcome
Target
Return
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on TOTAL. Current outcome: Pending.
The tweet predicts crypto will stay weak until the Fed is forced to act, implying continued bearishness for crypto.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 5, 2026 · 16:23
miss
BTCCryptobullishdirectionalearly March
-5.01%
Imagine telling people it’s a bear market 4 months ago.

Then saying BTC will rally in early March and that all the supercycle guys will lose their minds and that they will then attack me.

Predicting the toxic permabull emotions is 100x easier than predicting the markets
Entry70,841.1250
Outcome67,290.5156
Target
Return-5.01%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on BTC over early March. Current outcome: Miss.
The tweet explicitly predicts that BTC will rally in early March, indicating a bullish directional prediction within a specific timeframe.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 4, 2026 · 17:30
miss
SPXStocksbullishdirectionalearly March
-4.18%
This is what the guys dunking on me don’t want you to see

“Rallies into early March”
Entry6,869.5000
Outcome6,582.6899
Target
Return-4.18%
AI summary
AI detected a bullish directional call on SPX over early March. Current outcome: Miss.
The tweet predicts a rally (bullish move) into early March, implying a directional price increase in the stock market (SPX as the broad stock market benchmark). No specific price target or deadline is given.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Mar 3, 2026 · 09:16
hit
SPXStocksbearishdirectionalmedium term
+4.45%
The odds continue to mount of a coming correction in SPX.

Historically, midterm years are the weakest for the stock market https://t.co/HTK0Vr5isd
Entry6,881.6201
Outcome6,575.3198
Target
Return+4.45%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on SPX over medium term. Current outcome: Hit.
The tweet predicts a coming correction in SPX, implying a bearish directional move in the medium term based on historical midterm year weakness.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Feb 23, 2026 · 07:30
miss
BTCCryptobearishdirectionalFebruary to April/May
-10.36%
When looking at Bitcoin YTD ROI in midterm years, Bitcoin usually is weak for a good portion of February, with slight a bounce into early March, then a continued decline into April/May https://t.co/Ks4GhJZnOF
Entry64,616.7383
Outcome71,309.8828
Target
Return-10.36%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on BTC over February to April/May. Current outcome: Miss.
The tweet predicts Bitcoin will be weak for a good portion of February, with a slight bounce into early March, then a continued decline into April/May, indicating an overall bearish directional move in the medium term.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Feb 11, 2026 · 20:32
miss
DJIStocksbearishprice targetearly 2026
+0.72%
The Dow Jones topped in early 2018 and early 2022.

From early 2018 to early 2022, DJI increased 37%.

From early 2022 to early 2026, DJI is up 37%.

What are the chances that while everyone cheerleads DJI hitting 50,000, it ends up marking the top for a while?

A 20% drop from here, which is what happened in prior cycles (excluding the pandemic), would put DJI at 40,000
Entry50,121.3984
Outcome49,760.5586
Target40,000.0000
Return+0.72%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish price target call on DJI toward 40,000.0000 over early 2026. Current outcome: Miss.
The tweet predicts a 20% drop from the current level to 40,000 by early 2026, implying a bearish price target for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Feb 11, 2026 · 03:45
pending
TOTAL2Cryptobearishdirectional
Memecoins are the lowest rung in crypto’s capital stack.

When liquidity tightens, the lowest rung doesn’t rotate.
It disappears.
Entry
Outcome
Target
Return
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on TOTAL2. Current outcome: Pending.
The tweet predicts that memecoins, a subset of altcoins, will disappear when liquidity tightens, implying a bearish directional move for memecoins/altcoins.
View original tweet
Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen
Feb 8, 2026 · 12:57
pending
ETHCryptobearishdirectionallater this year
+17.45%
Welcome Back Home, Ethereum.

This time, I guess it stays a while, goes down to the basement to get a snack later this year, and then the next bull market begins https://t.co/M6wlJSKgru
Entry2,088.7629
Outcome1,724.2001
Target
Return+17.45%
AI summary
AI detected a bearish directional call on ETH over later this year. Current outcome: Pending.
The tweet predicts Ethereum will go down later this year before the next bull market begins, indicating a bearish move first.
View original tweet